Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.640104 0.830781 1.046606 1.305837 1.605629 1.938477 2.332974
2025-03-30 0.404214 0.646868 0.957883 1.371125 1.891522 2.511789 3.293442
2025-04-06 0.247791 0.499481 0.866013 1.400772 2.124973 3.038457 4.244238
2025-04-13 0.137344 0.366240 0.750691 1.366959 2.260071 3.444209 5.069471
2025-04-20 0.078629 0.284823 0.684007 1.380293 2.448251 3.921556 6.005215
2025-04-27 0.043192 0.223604 0.628854 1.394571 2.629795 4.392572 6.948290
2025-05-04 0.018863 0.162456 0.550079 1.350545 2.711705 4.721441 7.706807
2025-05-11 0.006423 0.114812 0.477426 1.298575 2.768424 5.008915 8.411628
2025-05-18 0.002022 0.088488 0.441801 1.305896 2.916428 5.431703 9.315380
2025-05-25 0.000217 0.061761 0.389132 1.266383 2.977409 5.721263 10.033335
2025-06-01 0.000017 0.053537 0.389124 1.337056 3.232780 6.316342 11.207757
2025-06-08 NaN 0.040140 0.361682 1.340325 3.365301 6.722154 12.113038
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036980 0.374732 1.443122 3.691734 7.454156 13.532575
2025-06-22 NaN 0.031308 0.372925 1.509690 3.954869 8.094541 14.832700
2025-06-29 NaN 0.024223 0.357678 1.539622 4.149678 8.630572 15.988672
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015422 0.320037 1.502681 4.210863 8.948834 16.821260
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010907 0.302529 1.516448 4.371291 9.434059 17.916797
2025-07-20 NaN 0.007540 0.286784 1.531433 4.533362 9.924678 19.027884
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003866 0.253343 1.484376 4.562478 10.189322 19.792352
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001591 0.220487 1.428874 4.567173 10.409372 20.488694
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000794 0.207418 1.436655 4.707800 10.867436 21.566478
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000192 0.182583 1.394463 4.733617 11.123165 22.326275
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000134 0.188246 1.469873 5.028575 11.862242 23.868548